Skip to main content
Climatic ChangeVolume 122, Issue 3, February 2014, Pages 401-414

A new scenario framework for climate change research: The concept of shared climate policy assumptions(Article)(Open Access)

  Save all to author list
  • aPotsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
  • bJoint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States
  • cThe World Bank, WA, DC, United States
  • dClimAdapt,LLC, Los Altos, CA, United States
  • ePBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands
  • fInternational Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
  • gEnergy Research Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
  • hDepartment of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands

Abstract

The new scenario framework facilitates the coupling of multiple socioeconomic reference pathways with climate model products using the representative concentration pathways. This will allow for improved assessment of climate impacts, adaptation and mitigation. Assumptions about climate policy play a major role in linking socioeconomic futures with forcing and climate outcomes. The paper presents the concept of shared climate policy assumptions as an important element of the new scenario framework. Shared climate policy assumptions capture key policy attributes such as the goals, instruments and obstacles of mitigation and adaptation measures, and introduce an important additional dimension to the scenario matrix architecture. They can be used to improve the comparability of scenarios in the scenario matrix. Shared climate policy assumptions should be designed to be policy relevant, and as a set to be broad enough to allow a comprehensive exploration of the climate change scenario space. © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013.

Indexed keywords

Engineering controlled terms:Climate models
Engineering uncontrolled termsClimate change scenariosClimate impactsClimate policyKey policiesMatrix architecture
Engineering main heading:Climate change

Funding details

Funding sponsor Funding number Acronym
U.S. Department of Energy
See opportunities by USDOE		USDOE
Office of Science
See opportunities by SC		SC

  • 1

    Acknowledgments Jae Edmonds’ participation was supported by the Integrated Assessment Research Program in the Office of Science, U.S. Department of Energy.

  • ISSN: 01650009
  • CODEN: CLCHD
  • Source Type: Journal
  • Original language: English
  • DOI: 10.1007/s10584-013-0971-5
  • Document Type: Article
  • Publisher: Kluwer Academic Publishers

  Kriegler, E.; Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research, Germany;
© Copyright 2014 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

Cited by 178 documents

Zhang, X. , Tian, Y. , Dong, N.
The projected futures of water resources vulnerability under climate and socioeconomic change in the Yangtze River Basin, China
(2023) Ecological Indicators
Ji, P. , Yuan, X. , Jiao, Y.
Future hydrological drought changes over the upper Yellow River basin: The role of climate change, land cover change and reservoir operation
(2023) Journal of Hydrology
Moreno, J. , Van de Ven, D.-J. , Sampedro, J.
Assessing synergies and trade-offs of diverging Paris-compliant mitigation strategies with long-term SDG objectives
(2023) Global Environmental Change
View details of all 178 citations
Inform me when this document is cited in Scopus:
Set citation alert Set citation feed
{"topic":{"name":"Integrated Assessment Model; Carbon; Global Temperature Increase","id":3285,"uri":"Topic/3285","prominencePercentile":99.8676,"prominencePercentileString":"99.868","overallScholarlyOutput":0},"dig":"8415180c7e47a10c1175db68c1bf2f5eaca47f6d822881f8036b2cfe42b3b03c"}

SciVal Topic Prominence

Topic:
Prominence percentile: