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Empirical EconomicsVolume 57, Issue 6, 1 December 2019, Pages 1935-1958

Robustness and sensitivity analyses for stochastic volatility models under uncertain data structure(Article)(Open Access)

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  • aNTIS - New Technologies for the Information Society, Faculty of Applied Sciences, University of West Bohemia, Univerzitní 8, Plzeň, 306 14, Czech Republic
  • bDepartment of Mathematics, University of Rostock, Ulmenstraße 69, Rostock, 18057, Germany

Abstract

In this paper, we perform robustness and sensitivity analysis of several continuous-time stochastic volatility (SV) models with respect to the process of market calibration. The analyses should validate the hypothesis on importance of the jump part in the underlying model dynamics. Also an impact of the long memory parameter is measured for the approximative fractional SV model (FSV). For the first time, the robustness of calibrated models is measured using bootstrapping methods on market data and Monte Carlo filtering techniques. In contrast to several other sensitivity analysis approaches for SV models, the newly proposed methodology does not require independence of calibrated parameters—an assumption that is typically not satisfied in practice. Empirical study is performed on a data set of Apple Inc. equity options traded in four different days in April and May 2015. In particular, the results for Heston, Bates and approximative FSV models are provided. © 2018, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.

Author keywords

BootstrappingMonte Carlo filteringRobustness analysisSensitivity analysisStochastic volatility models

Indexed keywords

GEOBASE Subject Index:bootstrappingcalibrationdata seteconomic analysisempirical analysisindustrial performanceMonte Carlo analysissensitivity analysisstochasticity
Species Index:Malus x domestica

Funding details

Funding sponsor Funding number Acronym
Grantová Agentura České RepublikyLM2015042GA ČR
  • 1

    This work was supported by the GACR Grant 14-11559S Analysis of Fractional Stochastic Volatility Models and their Grid Implementation. Computational resources were provided by the CESNET LM2015042 and the CERIT Scientific Cloud LM2015085, provided under the programme ?Projects of Large Research, Development, and Innovations Infrastructures?.

  • ISSN: 03777332
  • Source Type: Journal
  • Original language: English
  • DOI: 10.1007/s00181-018-1535-3
  • Document Type: Article
  • Publisher: Springer Verlag

  Pospíšil, J.; NTIS - New Technologies for the Information Society, Faculty of Applied Sciences, University of West Bohemia, Univerzitní 8, Plzeň, Czech Republic;
© Copyright 2019 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

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