

The search for extraterrestrial life and intelligence constitutes one of the major endeavors in science, but has yet been quantitatively modeled only rarely and in a cursory and superficial fashion. We argue that probabilistic cellular automata (PCA) represent the best quantitative framework for modeling the astrobiological history of the Milky Way and its Galactic Habitable Zone. The relevant astrobiological parameters are to be modeled as the elements of the input probability matrix for the PCA kernel. With the underlying simplicity of the cellular automata constructs, this approach enables a quick analysis of large and ambiguous space of the input parameters. We perform a simple clustering analysis of typical astrobiological histories with "Copernican" choice of input parameters and discuss the relevant boundary conditions of practical importance for planning and guiding empirical astrobiological and SETI projects. In addition to showing how the present framework is adaptable to more complex situations and updated observational databases from current and near-future space missions, we demonstrate how numerical results could offer a cautious rationale for continuation of practical SETI searches. © 2012 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
| GEOBASE Subject Index: | automationempirical analysisextraterrestrial matternumerical modelquantitative analysis |
|---|---|
| EMTREE medical terms: | articleastrobiologyastronomybiogenesisbiological modelbiologycellschemistrymethodologymicroclimateprobability |
| MeSH: | Astronomical ProcessesBiogenesisCellsComputational BiologyExobiologyExtraterrestrial EnvironmentGalaxiesModels, BiologicalProbability |
| Funding sponsor | Funding number | Acronym |
|---|---|---|
| Ministarstvo Prosvete, Nauke i Tehnološkog Razvoja | 176021 | MPNTR |
Acknowledgements The authors use this opportunity to thank Carlos Cotta, Anders Sandberg, Ivan Almar, Geoffrey Landis, Branislav Nikolić, Aleksandar Obradović, Jelena Andrejić, Claudio Maccone, Zona Kostić, Steven J. Dick, and the late Robert Bradbury for their valuable input, kind support, and technical help. The Editor, Alan W. Schwartz, has been instrumental in vastly improving a previous version of the manuscript. This research has been supported by the Ministry of Education and Science of the Republic of Serbia through the Project #176021 “Visible and Invisible Matter in Nearby Galaxies: Theory and Observations”.
Vukotić, B.; Astronomical Observatory Belgrade, Volgina 7, Serbia;
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