Skip to main content
Journal of Medical BiochemistryVolume 33, Issue 2, 1 April 2013, Pages 181-190

Prediction of cardiovascular mortality in functionally disabled elderly - A possible new score(Article)(Open Access)

  • Vasović, O.,
  • Lalić, K.,
  • Trifunović, D.,
  • Milić, N.,
  • Jevremović, I.,
  • Popović, L.,
  • Paspalj, D.,
  • Milićević-Kalasić, A.,
  • Ševo, G.,
  • Despotović, N.,
  • Erceg, P.,
  • Milosevic, D.P.
  • View Correspondence (jump link)
  Save all to author list
  • aInstitute for Gerontology and Palliative Care, Kralja Milutina 52/I, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
  • bFaculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
  • cClinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Clinical Center of Serbia, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
  • dClinic for Cardiology, Clinical Center of Serbia, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
  • eInstitute of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Serbia
  • fNovo Nordisk Pharma D.o.o. Belgrade, Serbia
  • gClinical Department of Geriatrics, Zvezdara University Hospital, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia

Abstract

Background: We investigated the traditional and new bio- markers as predictors of cardiovascular mortality in the func- tionally disabled elderly who are living in a community. Methods: This prospective study included 253 participants (78.3% women) aged 65 and over who were monitored for 32 months. Receiver operating curve analysis and the Cox proportional hazard model were used to identify univariate and multivariate predictors of cardiovascular mortality. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Log rank test were used for survival analysis. Results: During the study, 43.1% participants died from car- diovascular diseases. Cutoff points of multivariate predictors were used to build a score system. The risk score was positive in patients with three or more of the following predictors: albumin <40 g/L, body mass index <25 kg/m2, total serum bilirubin <10.5 (imol/L, blood urea nitrogen >6.5 mmol/L and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein >2.25 mg/L. The rel- ative risk for cardiovascular mortality for someone with a positive vs. negative score was 3.91 (95% Cl: 2.55-5.98; P< 0.001). There was no change in risk after adjustment for age; sex, traditional cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidities and a number of disabilities. Conclusions: Presence of lo* grade inflammation, malnulri tion and early signs of renal dy sfunction are essential for car- diovascular risk among the functional disabled elderly and may be assessed using the proposed new inflammatory m3lnuhffion-renal involved score (1MRIS).

Author keywords

C-reactive proteinCardiovascular riskelderlymalnutrition

Indexed keywords

EMTREE drug terms:albuminC reactive proteinnitrogenurea
EMTREE medical terms:agedalbumin blood levelarticlebilirubin blood levelbody masscardiovascular diseasecardiovascular mortalitycardiovascular riskclinical trialdisabled personfemalehumanKaplan Meier methodlog rank testmajor clinical studymaleproportional hazards modelprospective studyprotein blood levelreceiver operating characteristicscoring systemurea nitrogen blood levelvery elderly

Chemicals and CAS Registry Numbers:

C reactive protein, 9007-41-4; nitrogen, 7727-37-9; urea, 57-13-6

Funding details

Funding sponsor Funding number Acronym
Ministarstvo Prosvete, Nauke i Tehnološkog Razvoja175097MPNTR
Ministarstvo Prosvete, Nauke i Tehnološkog RazvojaMPNTR
  • 1

    Acknowledgements. This study was partly supported by a grant from the Ministry of Science of the Republic of Serbia (project No 175097).

  • ISSN: 14528258
  • Source Type: Journal
  • Original language: English
  • DOI: 10.2478/jomb-2013-0026
  • Document Type: Article

  Vasović, O.; Institute for Gerontology and Palliative Care, Kralja Milutina 52/I, Serbia;
© Copyright 2014 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

Cited by 6 documents

Vitek, L. , Hubacek, J.A. , Pajak, A.
Association between plasma bilirubin and mortality
(2019) Annals of Hepatology
Gazzin, S. , Masutti, F. , Vitek, L.
The molecular basis of jaundice: An old symptom revisited
(2017) Liver International
Petrovic, I. , Stankovic, I. , Milasinovic, G.
The Relationship of Myocardial Collagen Metabolism and Reverse Remodeling after Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy
(2016) Journal of Medical Biochemistry
View details of all 6 citations
{"topic":{"name":"Bilirubin; Oxidative Stress; Cohort Study","id":19238,"uri":"Topic/19238","prominencePercentile":90.81039,"prominencePercentileString":"90.810","overallScholarlyOutput":0},"dig":"6cd0b20ac7a74bd0a520ee8ff7cad64fe61eea2aa99c9915a15e10ac3cb4d333"}

SciVal Topic Prominence

Topic:
Prominence percentile: