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Lecture Notes in Networks and SystemsVolume 818, 2024, Pages 221-2354th International Conference on Data Science and Applications, ICDSA 2023; Jaipur; India; 14 July 2023 through 15 July 2023; Code 306859

Metaheuristic Optimized BiLSTM Univariate Time Series Forecasting of Gold Prices(Conference Paper)

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  • Singidunum University, Danijelova 32, Belgrade, 11000, Serbia

Abstract

It has always been a well-known fact that gold never loses its value. This makes gold a favorite for long-term investments both for individuals as well as countries. Being able to anticipate changes in gold price can be a very lucrative. However, as prices are influenced by many complex factors, casting accurate forecasts is not an easy task. The development of a robust and reliable method for casting accurate forecasts is evident. This work proposes an approach revolving around bidirectional long short-term memory neural networks optimized via metaheuristic algorithms to ameliorate performance. Additionally, a modified version of the well-known moth flame optimizer (MFO) algorithm is introduced for this purpose. To help the network deal with subtle complexities as well as violent variations and noise associated with market data, a decomposition techniques is applied to the univariate time series prior to network processing. The proposed approach and introduced algorithm have been evaluated on realistic data, and their performance has been collated to several trailblazing algorithms applied to the same task. The approach has shown promising results attaining the highest overall objective function scores, with overall MSE value of 0.000643. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2024.

Author keywords

Gold forestingLong short-term memoryMetaheuristicsOptimizationTime series prediction

Indexed keywords

Engineering controlled terms:BrainCostsForecastingGoldLong short-term memoryTime series
Engineering uncontrolled termsComplex factorsGold forestingGold pricesLong-term investmentMetaheuristicOptimisationsPerformanceTime series forecastingTime series predictionUnivariate time series
Engineering main heading:Optimization
  • ISSN: 23673370
  • ISBN: 978-981997861-8
  • Source Type: Book Series
  • Original language: English
  • DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-7862-5_17
  • Document Type: Conference Paper
  • Volume Editors: Nanda S.J.,Yadav R.P.,Gandomi A.H.,Saraswat M.
  • Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH

  Bacanin, N.; Singidunum University, Danijelova 32, Belgrade, Serbia;
© Copyright 2024 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

Cited by 1 document

Petrovic, A. , Jovanovic, L. , Venkatachalam, K.
Anomaly detection in electrocardiogram signals using metaheuristic optimized time-series classification with attention incorporated models
(2024) International Journal of Hybrid Intelligent Systems
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